Ethereum Is Up 24% in a Month. Is It a Good Investment?

It’s impossible to navigate the investing world these days without coming across cryptocurrency in some way. It’s everywhere — on your trading platform, on your social media feeds, and even your favorite cable financial news channel. Arguably the second-most-discussed digital asset is Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH), which has grabbed headlines recently for its performance compared to Bitcoin, its gorilla-sized big brother.

It’s up roughly 24% in the past month alone, whereas Bitcoin is down about 29% over the same period. Ethereum is well off its highs, though, so let’s see if now is the time to make an investment.

Image source: Getty Images.

More than just currency

While most cryptocurrencies are known to function exactly as described — as currencies — Ethereum is a little different. It’s a large platform ecosystem hosting an almost alternative economy, filled with different digital functions redesigning the way we do business. Its community of programmers are constantly developing new uses for the underlying technology, with a growing number of businesses using it as a foundation. 

Take non-fungible tokens (NFTs), for example. This is another term making the rounds right now, made famous by a recent digital artwork sale of $69 million. It was paid for in Ether — the legacy cryptocurrency powering the Ethereum platform — of course. A buyer in Singapore made the transaction through auction giant Christie’s, which helped this new world get endless mainstream media attention.

The Ethereum platform has made technologies like NFTs possible, as its blockchain (the ledger tracking all transactions) has improved materially over Bitcoin’s, introducing new functions. The “smart contract” capability on Ethereum allows the owners of valuable intellectual property — like music or art, for example — to directly sell their work and earn royalties on each further sale from there on. This digital concept has the power to stifle some of the big headwinds that have hurt the creative industries for decades, including piracy and theft. 

Extreme volatility

The regular, major swings in value for cryptocurrencies are a hurdle to wider adoption. Some investors consider crypto as a store of value, like gold, but others genuinely view them as a replacement for real money. The problem with both uses is that consumers are unlikely to hold an asset that so rapidly changes in value — both up and down.

In the last 30 days alone, Ethereum has swung from $2,200 to $4,300, and back down to $2,900 — which makes it really hard to rely on as an anchor for an individual’s financial stability.

It’s also making it hard for professional investors to see the investment thesis. In a recent Bank of America survey, 74% of the 200 respondents said Bitcoin was a bubble, and voted it the second-most crowded trade behind technology stocks. It’s a possible hint that all of the people who want to own these assets already do, and therefore prices might start to fall. The survey seems small, but those 200 respondents manage over $500 billion in assets. If you consider Ethereum to be in the same league as Bitcoin, perhaps this doesn’t bode well. 

What the future holds

It’s possible that volatility cools off as crypto becomes more accepted, and it’s clear Ethereum is here to stay. There are now multiple online art marketplaces that allow users to exchange NFTs for different creative works, in addition to lending and investment services all driven by Ethereum.

Ethereum has a total market value of about $330 billion at Wednesday’s prices, compared to $775 billion for Bitcoin. However, it’s clear the former has more potential beyond just a vehicle for transactions and price appreciation. Even to date, while still in its infancy, the platform has delivered potentially game-changing advancements to solve problems across different industries, and it appears all that’s left is adoption.

While Ethereum is up 24% over the last month, it’s down about 34% from its highs, which could represent opportunity for those investors who believe in its future. 

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.



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